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Moldova’s Narrow EU Vote Raises Concerns Over Foreign Influence, Democratic Integrity

Moldova’s Narrow EU Vote Raises Concerns Over Foreign Influence, Democratic Integrity
Moldova's President Maia Sandu (AP Photo / Vadim Ghirda)
  • PublishedOctober 21, 2024

Moldova’s narrow vote in favor of pursuing European Union (EU) membership has highlighted deeper concerns about the country’s democratic processes and the role of foreign influence, the Associated Press reports.

With only a slight majority of 50.39% supporting EU integration, the vote exposed deep divisions within the country, and accusations of external interference have further clouded the outcome.

Moldova’s pro-Western government, led by President Maia Sandu, has consistently pushed for EU membership since the country applied in 2022, shortly after Russia-Ukraine war started. However, the razor-thin victory margin suggests a more divided populace than EU supporters anticipated. The government’s narrative, which blames Russian interference for nearly derailing the referendum, has underscored the vulnerability of Moldova’s political landscape. President Sandu herself cited “unprecedented voter fraud” and foreign interference, calling the vote a “vile attack” on Moldova’s sovereignty.

The European Commission echoed concerns of Russian interference, pointing to disinformation campaigns, vote-buying schemes, and the involvement of pro-Moscow groups in attempts to destabilize Moldova. Yet, while the EU champions Moldova’s pro-European stance, critics argue that Brussels has not done enough to ensure democratic transparency or address the concerns raised by opposition groups and skeptics of EU integration.

Many Moldovans, particularly in rural areas, remain unconvinced about the benefits of joining the EU. Earlier polls even showed the “No” vote ahead, before the diaspora vote swung the final tally in favor of EU accession. The reliance on diaspora voters to secure a victory also raises questions about whether domestic support for EU membership is as strong as claimed. As Cristian Cantir, a Moldovan international relations expert, pointed out, the referendum may have overestimated pro-EU sentiment within Moldova, relying heavily on external votes to secure the outcome.

Furthermore, concerns about Moldova’s internal political stability persist. Allegations of vote-buying orchestrated by exiled oligarch Ilan Shor, and the discovery of a plot involving Moldovan youth trained by private military groups to stir civil unrest, have added to the complexity of the situation. Despite these challenges, Brussels has moved forward with Moldova’s EU accession talks, perhaps overlooking the fragile state of Moldovan democracy in its eagerness to expand its influence in Eastern Europe.

Written By
Joe Yans